No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $134.42
- Potential payout
- $140.24
- Potential profit
- $5.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Polymarket Trader
avessalem
0x36c08540e6320f4e78e44de10af44cbb50bdbafc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.67
- Realized PnL
- $95.64
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $15.25
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.67
- Potential profit
- $28.67
- User PnL
- -$18.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.43
- Potential profit
- $24.43
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $26.47
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $14.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
N
No position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 97% 140.24 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 78.8% 190.46 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 39.4% 190.46 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 47% 23.63 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 22.98 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 63.1% 71.45 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 75.6% 71.46 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 25.5% 201.26 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 59.4% 117.93 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 36% 83.33 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 97.1% 73.66 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5% 28.57 shares