Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $444.94
- Potential payout
- $640.29
- Potential profit
- $195.35
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $144.94
Polymarket Trader
jaredg
0x36c2318e72cb80d60a8eb6474ea134b03e8a2b8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $444.94
- Realized PnL
- $923.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 46.9% 640.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?No 64% 28.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?No 80% 24.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?No 80% 27.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 28?No 79.1% 37.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?No 79% 37.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?No 78% 37.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?No 77% 38.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?No 76% 4.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?No 76% 20.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?No 75% 0.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 28?No 75% 39.01 shares