No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $195.02
- Potential payout
- $197.89
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $36.47
Polymarket Trader
sparkybeme2
0x36c9d921bf2b609be1f643f715467f5e41ab3039
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $170.16
- Potential profit
- $167.69
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$27.73
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $114.53
- Potential payout
- $124.42
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $34.67
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $82.26
- Potential profit
- $75.72
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$18.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $80.02
- Potential payout
- $80.91
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $70.32
- Potential payout
- $78.57
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $35.71
- Potential payout
- $75.17
- Potential profit
- $39.46
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $69.68
- Potential payout
- $74.93
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.74
N
No position
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $59.94
- Potential payout
- $74.93
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $74.83
- Potential profit
- $74.04
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$59.07
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $22.54
- Potential payout
- $73.9
- Potential profit
- $51.36
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$37.32
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $24.97
- Potential payout
- $72.41
- Potential profit
- $47.43
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$34.79
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $68.58
- Potential payout
- $72.34
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $41.32
- Potential payout
- $71.86
- Potential profit
- $30.54
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$18.32
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $64.46
- Potential payout
- $70.83
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $37.07
- Potential payout
- $70.61
- Potential profit
- $33.54
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $70.48
- Potential profit
- $70.16
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.16
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $67.47
- Potential payout
- $69.81
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.13
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $42.24
- Potential payout
- $69.81
- Potential profit
- $27.58
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$17.1
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $66.57
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $7.17
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.7%
- Current value
- $31.98
- Potential payout
- $65.74
- Potential profit
- $33.76
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$25.7
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $65.23
- Potential payout
- $65.72
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $64.63
- Potential payout
- $64.79
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $58.27
- Potential profit
- $55.33
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.45
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.06
Chicago Fire FC position
Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.84
No position
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.44
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.22
No position
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.57
FC Midtjylland position
Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.68
Randers FC position
Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.3
No position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.18
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.6
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.1
No position
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-16?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.38
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.43
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.07
FC København position
Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.68
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.54
Yes position
Will Bengaluru FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?No 94.6% 42 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?No 96% 42 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?No 95% 42 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?No 95.3% 42 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?No 96.5% 41 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 85% 69.81 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No 80% 74.93 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 82.5% 72.41 shares
- Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80% 74.93 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?No 95% 42 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?No 93% 43 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?No 82.6% 72.34 shares