Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $35.14
- Potential profit
- $33.52
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Polymarket Trader
aravxtrade
0x36d2036ef589f6024e49670a614c1797e95e2ec3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.67
- Realized PnL
- $0.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.8
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 12.3% 8.13 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2.8% 35.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 74% 1.35 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes 98.6% 2.03 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 25% 3.76 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 50% 3.84 shares