Polymarket Trader

presidentendup

0x36d8bf97a36ef38c6524e255b01e63527ecf2e90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.8
Realized PnL: $142.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.75
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $496.74
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $229.3
Potential profit: $227.81
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.86
Potential payout: $25.79
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

No position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.16
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $7.55
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.6

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

Moise Kouame position

Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $4.32
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.13

Yes position

Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

No position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

No position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

No position

French election called by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 26% 7.69 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo

Moise Kouame 27% 7.41 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame

Moise Kouame 62% 10.41 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame

Moise Kouame 48% 10.42 shares
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 54% 9.26 shares
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 66% 4.55 shares
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Yes 42% 7.14 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 26% 5 shares
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Yes 54% 7 shares