Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $22.83
- Potential payout
- $34.34
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $15.63
Polymarket Trader
Luxun0517
0x36ef0552d262ac320770a6715df2552175743c3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.09
- Realized PnL
- $4.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $24.11
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $22.3
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $20.88
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $14.63
- Potential profit
- $11.93
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $12.51
- Potential payout
- $12.67
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $12.44
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $11.65
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 9.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.04
- Potential profit
- $11.03
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $11.01
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 6.94x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $8.76
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $8.27
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 87% 1.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?No 96% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?No 91% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?No 93.2% 1.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?No 83% 1.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?No 96% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?No 92% 1.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 19?No 92.2% 1.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 87% 1.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?No 92% 1.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?No 93% 1.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?No 99.9% 3.9 shares