Polymarket Trader

xunmenglt

0x370862635cbc8577d2d6589225769699506bcf67

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.81
Realized PnL: $37.67
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.17
Potential profit: $220.17
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $14.57
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $28.91
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $4.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $20.24
Potential payout: $21.16
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.7
Potential profit: $20.7
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 96.1% 17.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 4.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 94.5% 21.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23.5% 4.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 57.6% 17.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 30.1% 38.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 18% 38.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 12% 64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 29% 20.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 21% 31.66 shares