Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Polymarket Trader
FortunaFelix
0x370c671980712b4014fc6900766c0c6c66923eb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $419.41
- Realized PnL
- $2.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $514.18
- Potential profit
- $510.07
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $66.04
- Potential payout
- $507.96
- Potential profit
- $441.93
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$14.45
Yes position
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $355.36
- Potential profit
- $354.12
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $229.73
- Potential profit
- $224.22
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $100.66
- Potential payout
- $207.54
- Potential profit
- $106.88
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $182.12
- Potential profit
- $180.2
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $170.47
- Potential profit
- $155.98
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.37
- Potential payout
- $97.94
- Potential profit
- $91.58
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $69.72
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $82.53
- Potential profit
- $78.07
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $16.47
- Potential payout
- $78.42
- Potential profit
- $61.95
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $74.42
- Potential profit
- $71.04
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $12.69
- Potential payout
- $73.58
- Potential profit
- $60.9
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $60.2
- Potential payout
- $69.19
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $39.49
- Potential payout
- $58.94
- Potential profit
- $19.45
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $21.12
- Potential payout
- $56.85
- Potential profit
- $35.73
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $45.64
- Potential profit
- $39.94
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.47
- Potential profit
- $42.47
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $41.77
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $34.29
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $22.27
- Potential payout
- $29.7
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Over position
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.68
- Potential profit
- $29.68
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.3
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.8
Karmine Corp Blue position
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.3
Disguised position
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.69
Team Heretics position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.32
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.62
Baltimore Orioles position
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.18
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.76
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.87
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.58
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.48
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.02
Yes position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.4
Team Heretics position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.61
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.31
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.34
Yes position
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.58
Yes position
Will AC Monza vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.1
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Ecuador 24% 12.5 shares
- Ceará SC vs. Botafogo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 84% 2.38 shares
- Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-20?No 65% 3.63 shares
- Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-06-20?No 95% 2.11 shares
- Gimnasia vs. QuimsaQuimsa 52% 1.92 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 53% 5.66 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 53% 1.89 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over 63% 3.17 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over 63% 3.17 shares
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Netherlands 9.7% 82.53 shares
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Ecuador 5.9% 16.95 shares
- Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan EstevezNick Hardt 37% 2.7 shares