Polymarket Trader

Cromartie

0x371425ddae0431d92d97d2c2243019e3132f1af6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.77
Realized PnL: $300.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

Under position

Landaluce vs. Pellegrino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Landaluce position

Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Pellegrino

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $913.72
Potential profit: $913.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Under 2.5 position

Martin Landaluce vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358.57
Potential profit: $358.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nurul Hoque Ali win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.57
Potential profit: $218.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will David Ballantine win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.24
Potential profit: $185.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "i hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.8
Potential profit: $174.8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mel Sullivan win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.19
Potential profit: $161.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jorg Shelton-Eckstein win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.33
Potential profit: $141.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tanvir Ahmad win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.72
Potential profit: $119.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $118.36
Potential profit: $117.12
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $108.91
Potential profit: $108.59
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $100.51
Potential profit: $99.2
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $93.26
Potential profit: $92.75
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.22
Potential profit: $91.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.75
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.42

Lakers position

Spread: Lakers (-6.5)

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.43
Potential profit: $78.43
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.73

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.18
Potential profit: $70.18
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Randy Zurcher be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.23
Potential profit: $60.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $58.57
Potential profit: $58.04
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.47

Timberwolves position

Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.81
Potential profit: $53.81
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trail Blazers position

Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.85

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.47

Magic position

Spread: Magic (-9.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Raptors position

Spread: Raptors (-8.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.64

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Wizards position

Pacers vs. Wizards

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Under position

Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

76ers position

76ers vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.72

No position

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.19

Raptors position

Pacers vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

No position

Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

No 6.9% 14.49 shares
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Yes 1% 100.51 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?

No 44% 2.27 shares
Will fewer than 75 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?

Yes 2.7% 37.73 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 58.57 shares
Will "Hormuz" be in the headlines this week?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 10.87 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 48.08 shares