Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
KakiBatusik
0x371ca7c768d4129cacf0985443589d92e026c236
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $526.46
- Realized PnL
- $5.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $97.48
- Potential payout
- $672.3
- Potential profit
- $574.81
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$17.52
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $93.53
- Potential payout
- $603.41
- Potential profit
- $509.88
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$26.6
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $563.45
- Potential profit
- $563.45
- User PnL
- -$14.55
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.37
- Potential profit
- $543.37
- User PnL
- -$160.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $522.38
- Potential profit
- $522.38
- User PnL
- -$22.35
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.31
- Potential profit
- $501.31
- User PnL
- -$82.81
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $36.53
- Potential payout
- $487.04
- Potential profit
- $450.51
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.13
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $13.06
- Potential payout
- $466.53
- Potential profit
- $453.47
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$34.36
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $12.03
- Potential payout
- $445.46
- Potential profit
- $433.43
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.97
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $34.08
- Potential payout
- $378.62
- Potential profit
- $344.55
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$17.36
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $48.93
- Potential payout
- $362.45
- Potential profit
- $313.52
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.21
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.77
- Potential profit
- $298.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $23.77
- Potential payout
- $279.6
- Potential profit
- $255.83
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $20.09
- Potential payout
- $236.34
- Potential profit
- $216.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$9.91
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.49
- Potential profit
- $228.49
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $224.86
- Potential profit
- $221.93
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $71.04
- Potential payout
- $202.41
- Potential profit
- $131.36
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$12.23
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $72.58
- Potential payout
- $181.46
- Potential profit
- $108.87
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.96
- Potential profit
- $175.96
- User PnL
- -$14.49
Yes position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $165.63
- Potential profit
- $165.22
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.45
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.18
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.3
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.57
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.91
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.95
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.93
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.42
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.36
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.84
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.89
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.4
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.24
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.94
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.31
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.08
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.96
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.54
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 38% 131.39 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37.5% 80 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 17.8% 112.33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 96.8% 237.46 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 6% 141.67 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes 11% 44.73 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 38.8% 77.32 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 115.71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 87.82 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 31% 16.75 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 19% 66.66 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No 54.5% 136.95 shares