No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $511.83
Polymarket Trader
garywinston
0x373125b5428452d0c8a0fb676e1e4fc21f0c9afc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.55K
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $99.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $655.34
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $517.18
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $179.55
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$810
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $602.99
- Potential payout
- $705.25
- Potential profit
- $102.26
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $208.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$136
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$92
No position
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$138
No position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$136
No position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$132
Yes position
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $590?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$172
No position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$142
No position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.64
- Potential profit
- $190.64
- User PnL
- -$160.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $153.04
- Potential payout
- $174.9
- Potential profit
- $21.86
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$52.7
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$59.5
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$157.42
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.45
- Potential profit
- $169.45
- User PnL
- -$120.31
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$100.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $116.25
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.11
- Potential profit
- $126.11
- User PnL
- -$79.45
Yes position
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $600?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.43
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.92
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.86
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.86
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $400?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.77
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.76
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.51
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $380?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.9
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.35
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.16
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.69
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.49
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 150 shares
- World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?Yes 23.6% 84.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 66.5% 165.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.1% 1,000 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 30% 550.62 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $380?Yes 91% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 56% 705.25 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 98.1% 1,120 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 1,000 shares
- Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX 96.1% 62.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93% 145 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 92.8% 220 shares