Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $10.12
- Potential payout
- $331.82
- Potential profit
- $321.7
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Polymarket Trader
deflector91
0x3733328a8ffe6649710a3286311e221bb6d397bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.72
- Realized PnL
- -$3.67
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $92.27
- Potential profit
- $91.67
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.45
- Potential profit
- $14.45
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 3% 331.82 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1.1% 92.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 14.45 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 41% 12.2 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No 27% 40.26 shares