Polymarket Trader

DerWettermann

0x37338808e544aeb42968d0242b03fe8792b78810

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.58
Realized PnL: $156.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $190.93
Potential profit: $190.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.86

No position

Belgium to win the second half?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 73°F or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.06
Potential profit: $20.06
User PnL: -$1.82

No position

Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming: Draw (1-1)?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.4

Yes position

Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-08?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $16.76
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Team Liquid vs PlayTime: Draw (1-1)?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $13.25
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $8.61
Multiplier: 6.71x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.06
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.06
User PnL: -$0.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

GamerLegion to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.86

No position

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $15.33

No position

Team Liquid to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Yes position

Rune Eaters to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Athletic Club vs. Operário Ferroviário EC end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.67

No position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.73

No position

Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

No position

BetBoom Team to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $5.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.84

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.63

No position

Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 8?

No 99.7% 5.01 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 8?

No 99.6% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 8?

No 66% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 8?

No 94.9% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 8?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 8?

No 39% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 8?

No 95% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?

Yes 57% 10.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 8?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 8?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 8?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 8?

No 99.5% 9.99 shares