Polymarket Trader

RichardSanchez9540

@BalserMerl96706

0x3734934b5d1b85d076ea5fdc67685b4d2a8301a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.09K
Realized PnL: $5.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $263.88

Over position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$347.93

Ipswich Town FC position

Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$202.24

Miami Marlins position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $468
Potential payout: $936
Potential profit: $468
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $9.36

Over position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $892
Potential profit: $892
User PnL: -$223

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash position

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougars

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $628
Potential profit: $628
User PnL: -$276.32

No position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $581
Potential payout: $581
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.58

Hershey Bears position

AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $572
Potential payout: $572
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $131.56

East Texas A&M Lions position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436
Potential profit: $436
User PnL: -$44.91

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348
Potential profit: $348
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336
Potential profit: $336
User PnL: -$36.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$89.9

Yes position

Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263
Potential profit: $263
User PnL: -$5.79

No position

Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $214
User PnL: -$49.7

Yes position

Bird flu vaccine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $194
User PnL: -$6.52

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $174
User PnL: -$5.05

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $165
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $142
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

Glean IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139
Potential profit: $139
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Ukraine strike in Russia on 29 November 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$114.84

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $131
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $131
User PnL: -$44.54

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

New pandemic in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$1.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.94

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $564.82

Yes position

Will "EoO - Bad Bunny" win Best Global Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.2

Over position

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.24

Yes position

Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.51

Yes position

Will SZA perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $354.64

Yes position

Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.24

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $272.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.03

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $218.56

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.98

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $184.5

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.8

Yes position

Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.56

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.65

Georgetown Hoyas position

Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas (W)

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.54

No position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.84

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.03

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.26

Yes position

Will "Sinners - Ludwig Göransson" win Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.52

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.34

Yes position

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.1

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson say "Stress" or "DNA" or "Sexual" while tripping balls?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.34

Yes position

US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 82% 100 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 631 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 1,209 shares
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?

No 84% 546 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 84% 1,289 shares
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?

No 84% 546 shares
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?

No 85% 73 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

No 84% 738 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

No 87% 720 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

No 87% 720 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

No 81% 738 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

No 99.3% 695 shares