No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.36K
- Potential profit
- $10.36K
- User PnL
- -$51.8
Polymarket Trader
0x37416d29De150CB2E91593FC7d634D9dDDFCFedf-1734971101779
0x37416d29de150cb2e91593fc7d634d9dddfcfedf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $445.89
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $138.25
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$226.88
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $263.59
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$407.84
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$456.09
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$148.32
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$106.27
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$175.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $890
- Potential profit
- $890
- User PnL
- -$106.8
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $642.86
- Potential profit
- $642.86
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $44.05
- Potential payout
- $550.63
- Potential profit
- $506.58
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$60.57
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.03
- Potential profit
- $293.03
- User PnL
- -$96.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $265
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.03
- Potential profit
- $190.03
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.03
- Potential profit
- $93.03
- User PnL
- -$33.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.26
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.63
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes 19% 550.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 194.77 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 13.2% 227.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 94% 591.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 36% 161.11 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 49% 214.29 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 12.5% 398.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 171.88 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29.7% 1,347.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 69% 376.81 shares