Polymarket Trader

AlienXBT

@AlienXBT

0x37447d42c55b62046ad1dbf20e8df95ebb90c141

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.74K
Realized PnL: $9.21K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16M
Potential profit: $1.16M
User PnL: -$9.85K

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.21K
Potential profit: $417.21K
User PnL: -$3.35K

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.25K
Potential profit: $63.25K
User PnL: -$9.59K

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.29K
Potential profit: $52.29K
User PnL: -$3.71K

No position

Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.32K
Potential profit: $41.32K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Oliveira position

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.8K
Potential profit: $36.8K
User PnL: -$8.46K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.95K
Potential profit: $32.95K
User PnL: -$3.3K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $23.1K
Potential profit: $17.73K
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: $2.78K

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.52K
Potential profit: $20.52K
User PnL: -$2.46K

Yes position

Will Denmark win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.26K
Potential profit: $20.26K
User PnL: -$727.51

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.63K
Potential profit: $14.63K
User PnL: -$914.9

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $9.77K
User PnL: -$379.07

No position

Azuro airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.17K
Potential profit: $9.17K
User PnL: -$985.46

No position

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.85K
Potential profit: $7.85K
User PnL: -$3K

Covington position

Covington vs. Buckley

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.84K
Potential profit: $7.84K
User PnL: -$2.57K

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$132

No position

Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $302.41
Potential payout: $454.75
Potential profit: $152.34
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$75.53

No position

Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $62.95
Potential payout: $73.63
Potential profit: $10.68
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Up Only podcast released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.94
Potential profit: $5.94
User PnL: -$2.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75K

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $684.88

Kings position

Avalanche vs. Kings

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $134.75

Yes position

Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.49

No position

Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.37

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.52

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

South Africa position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 1 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Spread: Canada (-1.5)

South Africa 84% 183.12 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Under 83% 35.08 shares
Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch

No 91% 73.63 shares
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch

No 83.1% 454.75 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

No 38% 4.59 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

No 32% 15.41 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 58% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 25?

No 5% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 25?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?

Yes 36% 50 shares