Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Polymarket Trader
lukel321
0x374783b42c216b63950a515cf0f8c88c1a7ab09d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $333.98
- Realized PnL
- $93.85
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Obama arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $113.7
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $106.68
- Potential payout
- $106.95
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $10.57
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Current value
- $52.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $47.65
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $19.49
No position
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$60.7
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.55
- Potential profit
- $65.55
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $49.4
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.29
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Trump launch a coin by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No 87% 100 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 10% 30 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 86% 100 shares
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No 54% 10 shares
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No 51% 10 shares
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?No 90% 100 shares
- Obama arrested before 2027?No 92% 10 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No 92% 17 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.6% 128 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No 92% 47.85 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.5% 100 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 40 shares