Polymarket Trader

Qwertie

0x375951efa22a0c4c82b61bd68b882a1bd16d3911

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.52K
Realized PnL: $4.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $774.98
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $224.99
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $106

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $179.4
Potential payout: $875.11
Potential profit: $695.71
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $368.9
Potential payout: $620
Potential profit: $251.1
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $31.77

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $259.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.8
Potential profit: $289.8
User PnL: -$11.29

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$90.92

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $159.88
Potential payout: $169.99
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $61.64

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$8.32

Yes position

Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$9.98

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.77

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.18

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.68

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.44

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.52

No position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.56

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.22

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.1

No position

Crimean bridge hit before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.77

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Ukraine election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

No position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 72% 100 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 53% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 70% 28.01 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 20% 100 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 20% 100 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 21% 100 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 21% 50 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 20% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 50% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 50% 100 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 53% 100 shares