Polymarket Trader

0x3766a449AE7bfaBd891c77b8Ece2C7A6984AE05A-1768139811102

0x3766a449ae7bfabd891c77b8ece2c7a6984ae05a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $277.78
Realized PnL: $158.5
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $53.44
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $571.56
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$46.56

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $49.07
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $136.11
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $101.72
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $70.69
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $73.55
Potential payout: $148.58
Potential profit: $75.03
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$26.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.05

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.35

Real Madrid CF position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

Over position

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.78

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.64

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$13.97

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.54

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$94.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 27% 185.19 shares
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 67.3% 148.58 shares
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 1.5% 370.37 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 15% 256.41 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 41% 243.9 shares
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Paris Saint-Germain FC 62% 294.11 shares
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Paris Saint-Germain FC 17% 294.12 shares
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Real Madrid CF 52% 96.15 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 97.7% 282.4 shares
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Over 56% 138.88 shares
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Over 36% 138.89 shares