Yes position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.45
- Potential profit
- $181.45
- User PnL
- -$45
Polymarket Trader
ssensei
0x37699bda1d5362076128117253a96e9cc418600f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $362.77
- Realized PnL
- $421.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $55.03
- Potential payout
- $113.46
- Potential profit
- $58.43
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $10.03
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.97
- Potential profit
- $106.97
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.44
- Potential profit
- $91.44
- User PnL
- -$37.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $89.58
- Potential payout
- $89.67
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $39.58
Yes position
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $75.13
- Potential payout
- $75.17
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $45.13
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $56.12
- Potential payout
- $57.62
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $27.2
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $57
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $17.87
- Potential payout
- $54.14
- Potential profit
- $36.27
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.17
- Potential profit
- $48.17
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 63.4%
- Current value
- $30.33
- Potential payout
- $47.81
- Potential profit
- $17.48
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- $15.33
No position
Will "Rock" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.68
- Potential profit
- $47.68
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $18.88
- Potential payout
- $46.17
- Potential profit
- $27.29
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.12
Yes position
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $36.13
- Potential profit
- $26.38
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
N
No position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.04
- Potential profit
- $36.04
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- User PnL
- -$20
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $30.09
- Potential profit
- $26.18
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$13.54
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $29.8
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$8.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.26
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.25
No position
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.36
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.42
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.67
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.32
No position
Will Trump say "Beef" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
No position
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" this week? (December 1 - 7)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 58% 30.09 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 69.5% 21.58 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?No 41.6% 36.04 shares
- Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 50.3% 29.8 shares
- Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 71.3% 21.04 shares
- Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 31.4% 47.81 shares
- Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 48.4% 31 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 39% 38.46 shares
- Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 41.5% 36.13 shares
- GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 56% 26.79 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 40% 75 shares