No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $979.22
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $207.71
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $56
Polymarket Trader
bare-dollar
0x3779b860139ba123b9c0d13c631bb9164575f61c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- -$163.42
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $47.96
- Potential payout
- $635.22
- Potential profit
- $587.26
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $50.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $449.49
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $21.58
- Potential payout
- $331.98
- Potential profit
- $310.4
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.57
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.02
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.83
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.26
No position
Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.74
Yes position
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.87
Yes position
FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7.4% 56.21 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 79% 12 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 78% 11.41 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 75% 40 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 78% 5 shares
- Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?No 75% 5 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 80% 7.52 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 80% 8 shares
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 87% 42.39 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 80% 82 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 79% 8 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 90% 217.39 shares