Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $50.94
- Potential profit
- $49.92
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Polymarket Trader
0x378a...001b
0x378a4dd2290d164a10faae2918340d96969b001b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $11.94
- Realized PnL
- $477.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $14.04
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $1.94
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.91
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.76
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.74
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.53
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.54
Karmine Corp Blue position
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.28
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
DN SOOPers position
LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 Winner
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.62
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.39
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Gen.G position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92
GamerLegion position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 29% 6.9 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 33% 0.38 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 36% 9.49 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 41% 4.88 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 28% 7.14 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 4.4% 31.08 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes 0.7% 28.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 2.81 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.9% 33.9 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 38% 3.23 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 38% 1.33 shares