Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Polymarket Trader
Trespassa
0x3790601bcfb48f5f0f8fd432f683e987b5fdbb81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.55
- Realized PnL
- $39.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Stormers win?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Oil" 2+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes 82% 6.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 9.26 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 77.9% 6.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?Yes 88% 5.68 shares
- Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?No 84% 4.63 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?Yes 84% 5.95 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?Yes 93% 5.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 96.5% 5.18 shares
- Will Stormers win?Yes 83.2% 6.01 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes 68.7% 5.74 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 53% 9.43 shares