Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Polymarket Trader
ludka228
0x3797b8a57dda5ded8d57855b42def7a0389e8be6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.51
- Realized PnL
- $1.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $15.95
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $549.18
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $545.88
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $549.73
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $544.78
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $548.63
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $545.33
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $12.93
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $537.08
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $544.23
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $487.27
- Potential profit
- $487.03
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.27
- Potential profit
- $409.27
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $403.63
- Potential profit
- $401.82
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $326.87
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $273.35
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $207.98
- Potential profit
- $207.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $183.32
- Potential profit
- $183.05
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $171.57
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $165
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $164.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $163.43
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $164.75
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.66
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.34
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $96.48
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $95.6
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.14
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.33
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $73.46
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.14
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.68
Yes position
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $65.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $58.23
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $56.48
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.39
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $55.95
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $55.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.99
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.48
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.87
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $46.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.09
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.08
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.11x
- User PnL
- $42.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki MontesTristan Boyer 36% 10 shares
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins 50% 10 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?No 66% 10 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes 35% 10 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?Yes 0.1% 25 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?Yes 0.1% 501 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?Yes 0.2% 1 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?Yes 0.2% 2 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?Yes 0.2% 3 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?Yes 0.2% 6 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?Yes 0.2% 13 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?Yes 0.2% 26 shares