No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $411.68
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $201.68
Polymarket Trader
panzerdragoon
0x37a10c9fe980c79fa2dd6a8efa9b3c6bf83db0c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.84K
- Realized PnL
- $1.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$266.23
No position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $792.52
- Potential payout
- $856.78
- Potential profit
- $64.26
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $813.54
- Potential profit
- $813.54
- User PnL
- -$754.19
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $754.07
- Potential payout
- $756.72
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- User PnL
- $72.27
No position
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $501.2
- Potential payout
- $572.8
- Potential profit
- $71.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $470
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $331.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $68.8
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $67.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $298.3
- Potential payout
- $340.91
- Potential profit
- $42.61
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $232.82
- Potential payout
- $318.06
- Potential profit
- $85.24
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$67.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $287.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.09
- Potential profit
- $190.09
- User PnL
- -$165.38
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $123.91
- Potential payout
- $129.27
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $82.75
- Potential payout
- $107.26
- Potential profit
- $24.51
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of April 6 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.6
- Potential profit
- $99.6
- User PnL
- -$89.64
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $45.69
- Potential payout
- $68.7
- Potential profit
- $23.01
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$10.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.79
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.03
No position
Will Trump say "Plastic Egg" this week? (April 5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.37
No position
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.96
No position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.32
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.7
No position
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.36
No position
Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.84
No position
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.95
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.04
No position
Will Trump say "Gay" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.07
No position
Will Trump say "Women's Sport" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.97
No position
Will Trump say "My father" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.46
No position
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.93
No position
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
N
No position
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
No position
Will Trump say "Alien Dot Gov" or "Aliens Dot Gov" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.82
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 340.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 300 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 34.4% 99.76 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 42.1% 158.24 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 6% 46.29 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 6% 46.29 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 6% 30.85 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 6% 30 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 3% 153.42 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No 1% 200 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 1.7% 306.84 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No 1.5% 613.68 shares