Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $141.97
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$110.42
Polymarket Trader
geniousmer
0x37ad30c611b498fadc579bb2b1d0268da3eef231
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.79
- Realized PnL
- $8.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $131
- Potential profit
- $121.17
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 31?Yes 99.5% 3.83 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 30?No 99% 3.03 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 30?No 99.8% 3.01 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 30?Yes 90% 4.43 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 30?Yes 99.3% 4.03 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 30?Yes 99.8% 4.01 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 30?Yes 99.8% 4.01 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 28?No 99.4% 3.59 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 28?No 99.8% 4.01 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 28?Yes 96.4% 3.11 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 28?Yes 99.3% 3.02 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 28?Yes 99.8% 4.01 shares