No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
BlimpShrimp
0x37bc42d5edbd32df65f6efa420f1169a52813799
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $125.01
- Realized PnL
- $39.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $9.11
- Potential payout
- $25.65
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $7.59
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.68
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $7.57
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $6.22
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Leadership Change position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 82% 12.2 shares
- AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?No 22% 22.74 shares
- AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?No 19% 26.32 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 40% 3.24 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.4% 5.61 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 68% 88.24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 68% 89.28 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No 75% 2.73 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 31.7% 17.25 shares
- Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Leadership Change 44% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 20% 12.82 shares