Polymarket Trader

joe48691

0x37c7b322adc53f5d6f9ffad5df4912b2beb9100c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $142.23
Realized PnL: $121.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.7
Potential profit: $106.7
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $54.27
Potential payout: $56.29
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.78

No position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $43.33
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $3.84
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.45
Potential profit: $42.45
User PnL: -$18.86

No position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $22.1
Potential payout: $38.1
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $33.47
Potential profit: $23.76
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $26.09
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $25.42
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.66
Potential profit: $20.66
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.47
Potential profit: $19.47
User PnL: -$8.42

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$7.53

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.06
Potential profit: $14.06
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $12.15
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $8.66
Potential profit: $5.67
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

No position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

No position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 38% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 85% 2.32 shares
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 32% 6.38 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 95% 2.08 shares
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 74% 23.91 shares
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 15% 33.47 shares
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 95.1% 24.28 shares
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 74% 2.82 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 14.6% 14.46 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 81% 2.09 shares
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 87% 24.29 shares
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 79% 0.43 shares