Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.55K
- Potential profit
- $743.55K
- User PnL
- -$37.93K
Polymarket Trader
flydartball
0x37d10ffb61998561c5f9fb941c42c952d8fb4e28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $951.2K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.36K
- Potential profit
- $112.36K
- User PnL
- -$8.4K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.37K
- Potential profit
- $89.37K
- User PnL
- -$5.75K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$647.5
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.8K
- Potential profit
- $29.8K
- User PnL
- -$4.22K
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$10.35K
Real Madrid position
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.11K
- Potential profit
- $10.11K
- User PnL
- -$4.04K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.68K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- User PnL
- -$185.3
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.98
- Potential profit
- $151.98
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.62
- Potential profit
- $139.62
- User PnL
- -$39.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.13K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.19K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.45K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.17K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09K
Chelsea position
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance)
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93K
Chelsea position
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance)
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
PSG position
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance)
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.71
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.71
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.11
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$228.99
Al Hilal position
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$570
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No 93.9% 31,943.17 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 69.8% 13,401.24 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 60% 2,362.81 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 60.6% 9,880.38 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 40% 25,017.48 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 43.5% 20,395.47 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 45% 6,521.09 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 43.9% 2,737.88 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 57% 1,431.74 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 53% 2,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 75% 5,668.65 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 30.7% 5,673.25 shares