Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $43.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $623.33
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$56.67
Polymarket Trader
0x37D51caa4f709F0749AA14B3c6EdcB109443617D-1768209272679
0x37d51caa4f709f0749aa14b3c6edcb109443617d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.76
- Realized PnL
- $10.87
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $41.43
- Potential payout
- $206.61
- Potential profit
- $165.19
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.94
- Potential profit
- $164.94
- User PnL
- -$128
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.83
- Potential profit
- $63.83
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.74
- Potential profit
- $25.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.82
- Potential profit
- $20.82
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown 2% 249.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown 3% 166.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp 43% 11.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 73% 13.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 62% 15.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 55% 17.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown 12% 82.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown 45% 21.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown 49% 19.77 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 47% 63.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp 40% 24.28 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown 47.3% 20.49 shares