No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $7.34
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $305.16
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Polymarket Trader
bondvillain
0x37e1e17eb1aac324f8c7162f64705f4965113d42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.94
- Realized PnL
- $21.57
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $73.17
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.6%
- Current value
- $23.19
- Potential payout
- $71.23
- Potential profit
- $48.05
- Multiplier
- 3.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $10.88
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.57
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
OG position
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 62% 8.06 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 89.8% 5.57 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 1.6% 312.5 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 77% 6.49 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 56% 1.79 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 83% 18.07 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.9% 213.67 shares