Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $29.17
- Potential payout
- $34.52
- Potential profit
- $5.35
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Polymarket Trader
0x37f4...8969
0x37f4219a5f05cbd000d59aa184a38fa4e4478969
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.73
- Realized PnL
- $126.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.56
- Potential payout
- $17.58
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.75
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Suns position
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Avalanche position
Kings vs. Avalanche
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Golden Knights position
Ducks vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Golden Knights position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?Yes 86% 34.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 22% 102.41 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 33.3 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 6.3 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 39.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.6% 224.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3.5% 224.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29% 102.41 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 98.1% 12.95 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 98.1% 0.24 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 78% 13.19 shares
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?No 92% 2.99 shares