Polymarket Trader

0x380c15E03F72499050ed129329Bb464611980f21-1779122760008

0x380c15e03f72499050ed129329bb464611980f21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.96
Realized PnL: -$193
Win rate: 29.4%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $54.91
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $40.65
Potential profit: $35.43
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.06

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 37.8%
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.47

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 16.6% 10 shares
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 96.5% 1.04 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 86% 1.16 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 16% 6.25 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 71% 1.41 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 60% 1.67 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 68% 1.47 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 81.7% 1.22 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares