No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $27.58
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $275.45
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Polymarket Trader
cprpls
0x380ef6143c27c5e01933aa28c884aefb6680c352
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.58
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.16
Yes position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.58
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120.38
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$154
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$270.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 9.9% 303.03 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 73% 300 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes 56% 10 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes 4.2% 237.88 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes 33.3% 600.11 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.3% 188.67 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes 12.2% 245.15 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.6% 188.68 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 5.6% 895 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 4% 250 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 38% 395 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 60.4% 897.61 shares