Polymarket Trader

K4MP

0x381188976bde24e9c9e3ef3636336943d980106f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.63
Realized PnL: $648.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.7%
Current value: $66.43
Potential payout: $248.82
Potential profit: $182.38
Multiplier: 3.75x
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $19.33
Potential payout: $132.41
Potential profit: $113.08
Multiplier: 6.85x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $21.86
Potential payout: $88.51
Potential profit: $66.65
Multiplier: 4.05x
User PnL: $1.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $123.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.15

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.66

Kings position

Kings vs. Clippers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.59

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 43.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 23.4% 128.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 14.2% 70.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 22.3% 44.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 16.2% 61.91 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 24.9% 120.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.7% 135.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 35% 57.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 24% 64.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 73.2% 58.82 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Up 24.5% 20.38 shares