Yes position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $61.12
- Potential payout
- $24.45K
- Potential profit
- $24.39K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $12.22
Polymarket Trader
baiyanggaoqian
0x381b87feb85472a6b7e5803dda85c9bf6882e2d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $348.79
- Realized PnL
- $956.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $54.11
- Potential payout
- $21.64K
- Potential profit
- $21.59K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $10.82
Yes position
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $44.97
- Potential payout
- $17.99K
- Potential profit
- $17.94K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $42.15
- Potential payout
- $16.86K
- Potential profit
- $16.82K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $8.43
Yes position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $20.04
- Potential payout
- $5.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.7K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $42.21
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $37.52
Yes position
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $920.59
- Potential profit
- $917.83
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.51
- Potential payout
- $723.73
- Potential profit
- $717.22
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Ends Feb 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $54.29
- Potential payout
- $522
- Potential profit
- $467.71
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- $53.77
Yes position
Will Leo De Vries win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $273.01
- Potential profit
- $272.19
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Brice Matthews win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $189.99
- Potential profit
- $188.95
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $168.03
- Potential profit
- $165.93
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.69
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $107.56
- Potential profit
- $107.3
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $152.87
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $109.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.44
Yes position
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $66.69
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $64.6
Yes position
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $58.76
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $55.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.35
ESC Gaming position
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
MOUZ NXT position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Over position
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.49
Brute position
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $18.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
Pablo Carreno Busta position
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
EDward Gaming position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Pacers position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Magic position
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Lakers position
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.3% 1,517 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 2,302.65 shares
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 4,250.89 shares
- Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.2% 17,292.83 shares
- Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.2% 7,164.7 shares
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.2% 77.08 shares
- Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 228.45 shares
- Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.2% 33.74 shares
- Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.2% 566 shares
- Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,865 shares
- Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.2% 4,655.14 shares