Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $515.27
- Potential payout
- $1.03M
- Potential profit
- $1.03M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$552.37
Polymarket Trader
polorna
0x381d85621fbc06f410043004a3f0573f5172fede
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.1K
- Realized PnL
- $9.75K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $20.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.36K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$513.07
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $678.73
- Potential payout
- $10.06K
- Potential profit
- $9.38K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$6.87
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.45K
- Potential profit
- $6.45K
- User PnL
- -$366.13
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $112.77
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.98K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- User PnL
- -$940.59
Yes position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$15.01
Yes position
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- User PnL
- -$63.34
Yes position
Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$15
Cavaliers position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- User PnL
- -$29.34
Yes position
Will Helius be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$543.8
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$285.36
Yes position
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$15
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$149.91
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$98.64
Cavaliers position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$81.9
Yes position
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $957.21
- Potential profit
- $957.21
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $946.86
- Potential profit
- $946.86
- User PnL
- -$117.03
Yes position
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $821.91
- Potential profit
- $821.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
76ers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $846.77
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.89
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.55
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $686.14
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.83
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.68
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.17
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.76
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.69
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.63
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.61
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$35.39
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.03
Yes position
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?No 19% 411.21 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 7% 114.29 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 75% 118.83 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 40% 105.5 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 910.82 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 418.97 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 18% 13.33 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 5,404.71 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 1.8% 555.56 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 8.8% 68.18 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 8% 20.35 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 11% 549.09 shares