Yes position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Polymarket Trader
baird-176
0x38317fc97e5b2a47d80bd598ed4f14d11cd80c78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.01
- Realized PnL
- -$9.43
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Down position
XRP Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $3.36
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hoffman position
Hoffman vs. Warwick
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Canucks
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pelicans
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?
Ends Aug 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Solana reach $270 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Solana above $145 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
Ends May 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be next UK prime minister?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Duarte position
CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on September 6?
Ends Sep 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No 37.2% 5.38 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 87% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?Yes 0.3% 5,000 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 89.2% 3.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No 60% 3.24 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?No 36% 5.56 shares
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No 96.7% 11.38 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 97% 10.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No 99.5% 5.03 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 94% 10.64 shares