Polymarket Trader

qualified-mobile-finished

0x383ae8fbde1facef5a23857dc8f25d0e443cc380

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $25.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.12K
Potential profit: $787.12K
User PnL: -$843.79

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.68K
User PnL: -$219.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $905.35
Potential profit: $905.35
User PnL: -$23.45

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.29
Potential profit: $735.29
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675.53
Potential profit: $675.53
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $646.55
Potential profit: $646.55
User PnL: -$18.53

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $573.41
Potential profit: $573.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.63
Potential profit: $485.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.88
Potential profit: $450.88
User PnL: -$59.1

Yes position

Will Kast win by less than 5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $435.7
Potential profit: $435.7
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.33
Potential profit: $293.33
User PnL: -$209.6

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.21
Potential profit: $271.21
User PnL: -$23.78

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251
Potential profit: $251
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.6
Potential profit: $216.6
User PnL: -$13.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.17
Potential profit: $210.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.87
Potential profit: $170.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.43
Potential profit: $163.43
User PnL: -$35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.27K

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Iran military response by Monday?

Ends Aug 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.05

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Ends Feb 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721.77

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15?

Ends Aug 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.6

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.77

Yes position

Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.26

Yes position

Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $321.82

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.08

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.59

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.18

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1?

Ends Aug 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.93

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1?

Ends Sep 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.15

Yes position

Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.38

Yes position

Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.7

No position

Iran military response before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.23

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $125.54

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.02

No position

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.65

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5?

Ends May 6, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Yes 2.3% 439.48 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 7.1% 400 shares
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Yes 13.9% 300 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 34% 294.12 shares
Brown University shooter arrested by December 16?

Yes 10% 30 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 13.2% 197.3 shares
Will Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Yes 1.2% 202.95 shares
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will Kast win by at least 25%?

Yes 9% 55.69 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 23.3% 7.02 shares
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?

Yes 22.4% 134.02 shares