Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $69.03
- Potential payout
- $177
- Potential profit
- $107.97
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$19.47
Polymarket Trader
raziberg
0x384a33eab113d3f7854f5f431c41a0f2fcbad4d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.03
- Realized PnL
- $684.98
- Win rate
- 59.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.14
No position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.92
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.72
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.24
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?Yes 1.1% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 50% 87 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 50% 90 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?Yes 5% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 44% 17.3 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 7% 291.26 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 53.2% 100 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 54% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?Yes 0.2% 141.41 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?Yes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?Yes 1% 41.41 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 85% 248.17 shares