No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $145.99
- Potential payout
- $149.81
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $49.58
Polymarket Trader
shortguy
@shortguyjim
0x385fe9fee3b4a4c6d25d9b1cb5adbe3c2fe5a21f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $500.44
- Realized PnL
- $8.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $67.58
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $17.58
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.55
- Potential profit
- $62.55
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $59.57
- Potential payout
- $60.33
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.57
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $40.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.63
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.54
- Potential profit
- $34.54
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $32.6
- Potential payout
- $33.71
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $32.08
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $24.03
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $5.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $23.51
- Potential payout
- $24.89
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $20.43
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.97
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.72
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.91
Gen.G position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.88
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.73
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.96
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.8
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.85
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.49
BNK FEARX position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323
Gen.G position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.27
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.07
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.76
Gen.G position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.76
BNK FEARX position
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.9
KT Rolster position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.27
NIP position
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.39
No position
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.65
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.52
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.91
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.93
DRX position
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-In
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124
T1 position
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 72.3% 24.89 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 30% 53.57 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 56% 53.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 40.1% 78.9 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 69.8% 58.58 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 66.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 66.67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37.1% 71.68 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 57.6% 17.36 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59% 50.85 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 83% 22.47 shares