Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $48.79
- Potential payout
- $242.72
- Potential profit
- $193.93
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Polymarket Trader
sunset310
0x386377f5ba6b66ccedfb27d350a7610e8a623c07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $312.35
- Realized PnL
- $83.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $94.44
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.56
No position
Will XRP reach $2.00 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $99.5
- Potential payout
- $100.6
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $66.71
- Potential payout
- $76.42
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.61
- Potential profit
- $37.61
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.91
- Potential profit
- $15.91
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
JD Gaming position
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 91.6% 76.42 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 111.11 shares
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in July?No 99.4% 100.6 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.6% 242.72 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 69% 2.9 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.5% 80.64 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 24.6% 20.4 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 95.3% 131.57 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.1% 157.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 95% 131.58 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96.3% 103.84 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.1% 157.48 shares