No position
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $18.43
- Potential payout
- $131.67
- Potential profit
- $113.23
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $6.58
Polymarket Trader
t57vk6tx8rwb
0x38657069859c7359d8324fe652907529ea85fcbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $774.96
- Realized PnL
- $15.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $107.64
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $89.82
- Potential profit
- $82.63
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$48.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $47.11
- Potential payout
- $65.89
- Potential profit
- $18.78
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $22.11
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $47.41
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $13.57
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $51.6
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $49.11
- Potential payout
- $52.89
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $48.42
- Potential payout
- $51.81
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $50.17
- Potential payout
- $51.17
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $49.76
- Potential payout
- $51.11
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $27.07
- Potential payout
- $46.28
- Potential profit
- $19.21
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $33.85
- Potential payout
- $45.74
- Potential profit
- $11.89
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $8.85
No position
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $44.55
- Potential profit
- $39.87
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$20.32
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $34.35
- Potential payout
- $40.62
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $25.19
- Potential payout
- $39.67
- Potential profit
- $14.48
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $8.46
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $35.91
- Potential payout
- $38.04
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $35.98
- Potential payout
- $36.32
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $8.34
- Potential payout
- $36.28
- Potential profit
- $27.93
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
No position
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.1%
- Current value
- $23.33
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $33.52
- Potential profit
- $27.34
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$18.82
No position
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $26.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $33.27
- Potential profit
- $25.45
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.18
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $32.43
- Potential profit
- $25.46
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
KT Rolster position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.42
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.36
KT Rolster position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.76
Eternal Fire position
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.7
Hanwha Life Esports position
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.6
XLG Gaming position
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.77
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.43
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.4
Eternal Fire position
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.96
T1 Academy position
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.93
No position
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.53
Paper Rex position
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.85
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.99
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.96
Fnatic position
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.77
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.94
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.37
Stefanos Sakellaridis position
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.19
Global Esports position
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.72
GLYPH position
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.34
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana dip to $65 on June 20?No 96.1% 0.24 shares
- Will Solana dip to $65 on June 20?No 95% 0.02 shares
- Will Solana dip to $65 on June 20?No 97.7% 0.77 shares
- Will Solana dip to $65 on June 20?No 97.5% 1.04 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?No 99.1% 0.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?No 99.1% 0.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?No 97.5% 0.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?No 98.4% 1.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?No 98.6% 0.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?No 97.6% 0.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?No 98.6% 0.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19?No 98.6% 0.08 shares