Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.05
- Potential profit
- $57.05
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Polymarket Trader
0x38683eF99E7D7ed7ac61094CFE9A4fEeD22ac4b8-1767552665538
0x38683ef99e7d7ed7ac61094cfe9a4feed22ac4b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.01
- Realized PnL
- $170.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $11.63
- Potential payout
- $35.79
- Potential profit
- $24.16
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$8.41
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $30.08
- Potential payout
- $32.33
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $24.04
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.55
- Potential profit
- $23.55
- User PnL
- -$11.65
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $14.19
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.98
- Potential profit
- $14.98
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.5
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- User PnL
- -$9.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.42
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- User PnL
- -$9.16
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10.22
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.91
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.9
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.01
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.8% 32.33 shares
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 73% 3.84 shares
- Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 1.58 shares
- Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 53% 1.89 shares
- Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67% 4.48 shares
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 52% 3.85 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60% 5 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.8% 24.04 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23% 21.74 shares