Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $70.87
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$169
Polymarket Trader
Wagmiboss
0x3874bb95c80cec3e0a8df9711a65f84d5eb862d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.87
- Realized PnL
- $235.19
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.43
- Potential profit
- $505.43
- User PnL
- -$268.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.24
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.04
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.52
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.19
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.37
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.02
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.49
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$63.67
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$137.01
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$161.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?No 53% 505.43 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?Yes 53.1% 264 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?Yes 57.7% 87.99 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?Yes 65.8% 117.33 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?Yes 70.7% 469.32 shares
- Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes 89.4% 371.09 shares
- Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes 88.2% 371.09 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes 98.9% 331.18 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes 81.9% 331.18 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.8% 274.43 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 1,090.32 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 54.7% 274.43 shares