Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86K
- Potential profit
- $17.86K
- User PnL
- -$603.56
Polymarket Trader
V.D.M
0x387a3bae0ce1f71234132081d422ee95167f8eae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $497.25
- Realized PnL
- $694
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24K
- Potential profit
- $17.24K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$180
No position
Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$547.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- User PnL
- -$35.95
No position
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$760
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$532
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- User PnL
- -$529.99
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$810
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$659.99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$623.75
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $209
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$318.68
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $251
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$136
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$199
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.4
Over position
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-5.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Egypt leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 13.5 Total CornersOver 9% 100 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver 12% 100 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver 28% 100 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver 19% 100 shares
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?Yes 6.2% 9.79 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over 19% 100 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Over 8% 100 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Over 3% 200 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 19% 100 shares
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)IR Iran 11% 100 shares
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5Under 9% 100 shares
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Over 25% 100 shares