Polymarket Trader

Fbm

0x3887650164096db6b9364badf90cc22bf0427f5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.27K
Potential profit: $83.27K
User PnL: -$209.68

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $227.5
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $34.77K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$47.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.43K
Potential profit: $25.43K
User PnL: -$228.89

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.56K
Potential profit: $7.56K
User PnL: -$21.81

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10.86
Potential payout: $7.24K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$31.51

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $330.2
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $66.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $278.77
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $4.04K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $94
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.91K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $247
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $31.32
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$88.44

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $58.77
Potential payout: $506.67
Potential profit: $447.9
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: $13.1

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $142.27
Potential profit: $139.64
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.06
Potential profit: $29.06
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$8.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.97

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $367.51

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.11

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $179.79

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $105.52

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.32

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.66

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.07

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.76

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.39

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.06

Yes position

Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.71

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.27

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.14

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Multiplier: 4.46x
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 1,522.07 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 800 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 968.39 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 634.45 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 233 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 351.49 shares
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 142.27 shares
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 6,700 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 11.6% 280.7 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 2,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 1,200 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 800.52 shares