Polymarket Trader

maino

0x38a10251314c356c3fdfac72c6956de747a7d1e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.97K
Realized PnL: $3.34K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.75K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $36.31K
Potential profit: $33.49K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $18.15

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.37K
Potential profit: $9.37K
User PnL: -$4.78K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$2.26K

Yes position

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$787.44

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$1.95K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $5.17K
User PnL: -$402.62

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$900

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$2.19K

No position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$351.94

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$1.83K

Blue Jays position

Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$223.48

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$730.07

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$844.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$9.13

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $905
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$680

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $795.4
Potential profit: $795.4
User PnL: -$10.34

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545
Potential profit: $545
User PnL: -$408.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.4
Potential profit: $198.4
User PnL: -$53.57

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.9

No position

Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$16.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $860.62

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344

No position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.87

No position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.15

No position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.38

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

No position

Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.9

No position

Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.31

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Utah position

Rangers vs. Utah

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Rangers position

Spread: Utah (-1.5)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.7% 36,307.06 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 26% 4 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 100,000 shares
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 10.3% 1,000 shares
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 82.9% 330 shares
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 41% 3,673.4 shares
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 11.9% 4,557.08 shares
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 12% 2,038.4 shares
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 18% 2,600 shares
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 18% 2,400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Down 51.3% 191.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Down 4% 99.96 shares