wtrader2580

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $14.54
Potential payout: $180.64
Potential profit: $166.1
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $144.83
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $114.28
Potential payout: $114.62
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $112.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $96.67
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $94.99
Potential profit: $94.71
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $89.5
Potential profit: $82.65
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $87.68
Potential profit: $86.54
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60.96
Potential profit: $60.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.53
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $58.68
Potential profit: $57.39
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $54.65
Potential profit: $53.17
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $50.11
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $45.5
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $43.65
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $42.21
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $12.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $42.87
Potential profit: $42.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $41.23
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $40.78
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.39
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $37.86
Potential profit: $36.42
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $37.7
Potential profit: $37.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $33.73
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?