Polymarket Trader

vivi4024

0x38a824b952cc01742de735835f55d5204b02865a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $96.78
Realized PnL: $106.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $832
Potential profit: $832
User PnL: -$7.64

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.13
Potential profit: $532.13
User PnL: -$28.21

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.5
Potential profit: $524.5
User PnL: -$30.12

Yes position

Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $436.86
Potential profit: $432.27
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.03

Yes position

Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $21.99
Potential payout: $399.75
Potential profit: $377.76
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$10.27

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $378.36
Potential profit: $376.85
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$30.13

Yes position

Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $279.51
Potential profit: $275.04
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$3.83

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $209.3
Potential profit: $208.25
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$7.84

No position

Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187
Potential profit: $187
User PnL: -$29.92

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $129.93
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7.81

No position

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.0B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.77
Potential profit: $120.77
User PnL: -$22.32

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$54.06

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $101.32
Potential profit: $99.6
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$13.28

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $87.46
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.35
Potential payout: $82.95
Potential profit: $67.6
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $81.95
Potential profit: $81.54
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$7.52

No position

Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $65.34
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $12.77
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $56.24
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $67.86
Potential profit: $67.21
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.21

Yes position

Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$9.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.49

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $10.32

Marcos Giron position

Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.93

No position

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.24

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 17.7%
Multiplier: 5.65x
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.94

Under position

Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 16.4%
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 12.5% 18.79 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 19% 26.6 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 15% 60 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 17% 79.8 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5

Under 67% 14.21 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5

Under 65% 14.22 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 94% 7 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 94.4% 10 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

Over 97% 9.19 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 8% 20 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

Over 70% 10 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

Over 61% 10 shares